The School of OddsBrisbane Lions v Port Adelaide Power
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Brisbane Lions (Local)
Prediction 84.39%1.18fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -4.10%
Kelly -35.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.49%84.26%84.45%85.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1392%90%90%88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Port Adelaide Power (Visit)
Prediction 15.61%6.41fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +0.795%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.12%15.74%15.55%18.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.806.006.006.7521%17%17%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.36%E +0.795%K +0.933%G +0.050% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.48%E -4.90%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.46%E +0.225%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.46%E +0.225%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 21:25 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.46%E +0.225%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 21:25 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.46%E +0.225%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 22:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.46%E +0.225%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 09:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.46%E +0.225%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.48%E -4.90%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.100%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -3.22%E -0.520%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 10:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 08:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.48%E -4.90%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.40%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.70%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.60%EV -7.12%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-19 08:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.59%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.59%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.59%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.59%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.33%E -5.70%K -57.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.15%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.49%EV -8.01%E -7.35%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -25.08%E -5.22%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-07-20 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-07-20 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-07-20 00:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.45% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 9.3% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |