Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn Hawks

2026-08-06 21:40 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (0 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brisbane Lions (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -64.94%

Kelly -185.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.69%0.00%0.00%61.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.541.541.541.5464.94%64.94%64.94%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawthorn Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -40.32%

Kelly -67.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.31%0.00%0.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.482.482.482.4840.32%40.32%40.32%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%	5.3%	2026-07-30 03:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.