语言:简体中文
Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn Hawks
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Brisbane Lions (主队)
预测 52.36%1.91公平赔率
EV -3.13%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -3.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
51.32%52.31%52.36%55.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.791.801.8559.52%55.81%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Hawthorn Hawks (客队)
预测 47.64%2.10公平赔率
EV +2.43%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +2.11%
增长率 +0.051%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
44.16%47.69%47.64%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.991.982.1554.64%50.36%50.63%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Brisbane Lions (主队)：52.36%；Hawthorn Hawks (客队)：47.64%。 对于“Hawthorn Hawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.10。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.15，对应+2.43%的正期望值。
有 4 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -10.99%E -6.46%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +2.43%E +1.13%K +2.11%G +0.051% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -10.99%E -6.46%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +2.43%E +1.13%K +2.11%G +0.051% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 09:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.70%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.77%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.23%E -2.89%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 09:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 08:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.70%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 09:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.66%E -1.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.66%E -1.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.13%E -1.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 09:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 09:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.37%E -4.78%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 03:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -8.37%E -4.78%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -11.39%E -6.12%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -12.04%E -7.16%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-07 09:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 09:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (4)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.78% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 09:40 |