赔率学院

Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats

开赛时间: 2026-05-14 09:30 UTC

最终结果: Brisbane Lions 76–117 Geelong Cats

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Brisbane Lions (主队)

预测 61.76%1.62公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.740%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
60.00%61.85%61.55%66.43%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.401.511.531.6071.43%66.02%65.36%62.50%MIN均值中位数MAX

Geelong Cats (客队)

预测 38.24%2.62公平赔率
EV +8.98%
优势 +3.15%
Kelly +4.86%
增长率 +0.436%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
33.57%38.15%38.45%40.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.352.482.452.8542.55%40.25%40.82%35.09%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -11.07%E -7.68%K -25.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +8.98%E +3.15%K +4.86%G +0.436%4.5%2026-05-12 02:29
Coral1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.30%E -8.66%K -29.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +5.16%E +1.88%K +2.95%G +0.152%6.8%2026-05-14 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.30%E -8.66%K -29.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +5.16%E +1.88%K +2.95%G +0.152%6.8%2026-05-14 03:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.576%E -0.222%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 09:00
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -7.98%E -5.35%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -1.72%E -0.671%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 09:20
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.12%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.49%E -0.976%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 09:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.45%E -7.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.49%E -0.976%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 08:25
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.45%E -7.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.49%E -0.976%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 08:25
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.40%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 09:05
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.65%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.55%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 09:20
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 09:20
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 09:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 09:25
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 09:20
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -12.92%E -9.16%K -31.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 09:15
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.18%E -0.740%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.42%E -1.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 09:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.42%E -1.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 09:25
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.42%E -1.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 09:10
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.04%E -1.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 09:25
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 09:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 09:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 08:35
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 09:05
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.14%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.67%EV -13.54%E -9.67%K -33.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -10.14%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 09:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-05-14 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-05-14 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-14 09:20