La scuola delle quote

Brisbane Lions v Fremantle Dockers

Inizio: 2026-05-30 06:16 UTC

Finale: Brisbane Lions 78–103 Fremantle Dockers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Brisbane Lions (Casa)

Previsione 61.12%1.64quota equa
EV +4.51%
Vantaggio +2.64%
Kelly +6.35%
Crescita +0.286%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%60.38%60.97%62.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.561.561.7168.97%64.13%64.31%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fremantle Dockers (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.88%2.57quota equa
EV -0.848%
Vantaggio -0.332%
Kelly -0.547%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.35%39.62%39.03%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.372.402.5547.62%42.18%41.67%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +4.51%E +2.64%K +6.35%G +0.286%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -18.35%E -8.74%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 20:49
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +0.843%E +0.511%K +1.30%G +0.011%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.35%E -8.74%K -16.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 04:29
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.21%E -1.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:59
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.44%E -2.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 05:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -3.44%E -2.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -14.46%E -6.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 04:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -3.44%E -2.17%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -14.46%E -6.57%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 04:10
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 05:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 03:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 03:30
PlayUp1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 05:50
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 05:50
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 03:39
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 05:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 06:10
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 06:10
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 06:10
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 06:10
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 06:09
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -16.40%E -7.63%K -14.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 06:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 06:00
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 06:10
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 06:09
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 06:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 05:39
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.848%E -0.332%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 06:09
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -8.94%E -6.00%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.63%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 06:09
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -11.38%E -7.85%K -25.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -13.68%E -6.16%K -11.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 05:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-30 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-30 06:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-30 06:10