La scuola delle quote

Brisbane Lions v Collingwood Magpies

Inizio: 2026-04-02 08:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Brisbane Lions (Casa)

Previsione 74.36%1.34quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -2.57%
Kelly -11.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.11%74.47%73.74%77.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.261.251.3084.03%79.59%80.00%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Collingwood Magpies (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.64%3.90quota equa
EV +8.98%
Vantaggio +2.11%
Kelly +2.76%
Crescita +0.248%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.39%25.53%26.26%28.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.753.884.2531.25%26.70%25.81%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +8.98%E +2.11%K +2.76%G +0.248%4.2%2026-04-02 08:25
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -9.28%E -7.61%K -42.20%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV +8.47%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.222%5.6%2026-04-02 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085%4.4%2026-04-02 08:20
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085%4.4%2026-04-02 08:19
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085%4.4%2026-04-02 08:20
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085%5.0%2026-04-02 08:20
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022%5.0%2026-04-02 08:20
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022%5.0%2026-04-02 08:20
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022%5.6%2026-04-02 08:19
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022%5.6%2026-04-02 08:25
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 08:25
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 08:24
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 08:24
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 08:25
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.27%E -0.331%K -0.447%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 08:00
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 08:09
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.69%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 08:24
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 08:25
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 08:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 08:20
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 08:20
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.26%EV -5.57%E -4.38%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -10.76%E -3.09%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 08:25
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.79%EV -11.52%E -9.68%K -60.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -14.10%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-02 08:25
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.82%E -3.77%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -9.28%E -7.61%K -42.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 08:19
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.66%E -5.13%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.66%E -5.13%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 07:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -17.94%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 05:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-04-02 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-02 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-02 08:25