Lingua:Italiano
Brisbane Lions v Collingwood Magpies
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Brisbane Lions (Casa)
Previsione 74.36%1.34quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -2.57%
Kelly -11.12%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.11%74.47%73.74%77.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.261.251.3084.03%79.59%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Collingwood Magpies (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.64%3.90quota equa
EV +8.98%
Vantaggio +2.11%
Kelly +2.76%
Crescita +0.248%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.39%25.53%26.26%28.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.753.884.2531.25%26.70%25.81%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Brisbane Lions (Casa): 74.36%; Collingwood Magpies (Trasferta): 25.64%. Per Collingwood Magpies (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.90. 14 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.98%.
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +8.98%E +2.11%K +2.76%G +0.248% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -9.28%E -7.61%K -42.20%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV +8.47%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.222% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 08:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +5.14%E +1.25%K +1.66%G +0.085% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 08:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.57%E +0.643%K +0.857%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.27%E -0.331%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 08:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.69%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 08:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.26%EV -5.57%E -4.38%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -10.76%E -3.09%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.79%EV -11.52%E -9.68%K -60.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -14.10%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.82%E -3.77%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -9.28%E -7.61%K -42.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 08:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.66%E -5.13%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.66%E -5.13%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 07:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -17.94%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 05:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 08:25 |