语言:简体中文
Brisbane Lions v Carlton Blues
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Brisbane Lions (主队)
预测 87.03%1.15公平赔率
EV -4.26%
优势 -3.88%
Kelly -42.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.10
博彩公司预测分布
82.80%86.99%87.07%88.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.081.081.1099.01%92.66%92.59%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
Carlton Blues (客队)
预测 12.97%7.71公平赔率
EV +10.22%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.139%
假设最高赔率为 8.50
博彩公司预测分布
11.02%13.01%12.93%17.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.207.337.508.5019.23%13.65%13.33%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Brisbane Lions (主队)：87.03%；Carlton Blues (客队)：12.97%。 对于“Carlton Blues (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.71。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+10.22%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.22%E +1.20%K +1.36%G +0.139% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -9.49%E -9.12%K -237.16%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV +8.93%E +1.06%K +1.21%G +0.108% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 20:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 07:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 07:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.13%E -4.71%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.74%E -0.366%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.13%E -4.71%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.74%E -0.366%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 03:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.74%E -0.366%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.26%E -3.88%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.93%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.26%E -3.88%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.13%E -4.71%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.13%E -4.71%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 20:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 05:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 07:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 87.39%EV -12.10%E -11.98%K -1209.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 07:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.71%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.26%E -3.88%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -24.79%E -4.27%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.26%E -3.88%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -24.79%E -4.27%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.80%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -32.57%E -6.26%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 09:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 09:25 |