Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide Crows v Richmond Tigers

2026-08-08 09:35 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide Crows (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -95.24%
Kelly -2000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.50%0.00%0.00%92.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.041.041.0596.15%95.97%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Richmond Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -8.00%
Kelly -8.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.68%0.00%0.00%9.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0011.1011.0012.5010.00%9.01%9.09%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%5.2%2026-07-30 03:54
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%4.2%2026-07-30 03:54
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-07-30 04:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-07-30 04:19
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-07-30 04:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 49.75%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.25%97.0%2026-07-30 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 49.75%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.25%97.0%2026-07-30 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 49.75%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.25%97.0%2026-07-30 06:15