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Adelaide Crows v Melbourne Demons
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Adelaide Crows (Casa)
Previsione 70.44%1.42quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -3.09%
Kelly -11.67%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.80%70.48%70.32%72.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.331.331.3680.00%75.15%75.19%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Melbourne Demons (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.56%3.38quota equa
EV +1.98%
Vantaggio +0.574%
Kelly +0.809%
Crescita +0.016%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.19%29.52%29.68%32.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.203.203.4535.71%31.24%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +1.98%E +0.574%K +0.809%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 03:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -10.54%E -8.30%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV +0.503%E +0.148%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 14:30 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.975%E -0.291%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.975%E -0.291%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 02:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.975%E -0.291%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 02:09 |
| TAB | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.975%E -0.291%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 03:09 |
| Casumo | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.975%E -0.291%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 02:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.975%E -0.291%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 02:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -2.16%E -0.652%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 03:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.743%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 03:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 02:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 02:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 03:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 02:29 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 02:29 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 22:20 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 22:19 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 03:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -6.00%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 03:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.20%E -3.09%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 02:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.60%EV -7.18%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 03:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.20%E -3.09%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-18 08:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -11.95%E -9.56%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -12.80%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-20 02:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -14.28%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-20 00:49 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -14.28%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-20 03:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 03:10 |