The School of OddsAdelaide Crows v Gold Coast Suns
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Adelaide Crows (Local)
Odds
1.3275.76%Min
1.4071.48%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4469.44%Max
Consensus probabilities
65.63%1.524Min
68.24%1.466Max
67.20%1.488Mean
66.90%1.495Median
67.13%1.490IQM
67.24%1.487Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 67.13%
EV -3.33%Edge -2.31%Kelly -7.57%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Gold Coast Suns (Visit)
Odds
2.6038.46%Min
2.8435.18%Mean
2.8535.09%Median
3.0033.33%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.76%3.148Min
34.37%2.910Max
32.80%3.049Mean
33.10%3.022Median
32.87%3.042IQM
32.76%3.052Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.00 under the IQM model: 32.87%
EV -1.39%Edge -0.464%Kelly -0.696%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Adelaide Crows (Local) ▼ | Gold Coast Suns (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -3.33% E -2.31% K -7.57% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -9.61% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.59%EV -4.00% E -2.80% K -9.31% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.41%EV -6.32% E -2.22% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.59%EV -4.00% E -2.80% K -9.31% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.41%EV -6.32% E -2.22% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.59%EV -4.00% E -2.80% K -9.31% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.41%EV -6.32% E -2.22% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.59%EV -4.00% E -2.80% K -9.31% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.41%EV -6.32% E -2.22% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.59%EV -4.00% E -2.80% K -9.31% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.41%EV -6.32% E -2.22% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 05:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.74%EV -4.67% E -3.29% K -11.13% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.26%EV -6.32% E -2.22% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 09:39 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 65.95%EV -4.67% E -3.29% K -11.13% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.05%EV -9.61% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.44%EV -5.35% E -3.79% K -13.04% G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25% NM 32.56%EV -4.02% E -1.38% K -2.09% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 09:10 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -6.02% E -4.30% K -15.04% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -1.39% E -0.464% K -0.696% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -6.02% E -4.30% K -15.04% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -1.39% E -0.464% K -0.696% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -6.02% E -4.30% K -15.04% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -1.39% E -0.464% K -0.696% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -6.02% E -4.30% K -15.04% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -3.04% E -1.03% K -1.56% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -6.02% E -4.30% K -15.04% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -4.68% E -1.61% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94% NM 66.90%EV -6.69% E -4.81% K -17.15% G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59% NM 33.10%EV -7.64% E -2.72% K -4.22% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46% NM 67.76%EV -7.36% E -5.33% K -19.37% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.24%EV -4.68% E -1.61% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 08:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.59%EV -7.36% E -5.33% K -19.37% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.41%EV -9.61% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.59%EV -7.36% E -5.33% K -19.37% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.41%EV -9.61% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 68.24%EV -9.37% E -6.94% K -26.78% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.76%EV -4.68% E -1.61% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63% NM 65.99%EV -10.05% E -7.50% K -29.54% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 34.01%EV -14.54% E -5.59% K -9.09% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76% NM 66.50%EV -11.39% E -8.63% K -35.59% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 33.50%EV -13.88% E -5.30% K -8.57% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Adelaide Crows (Local) | Gold Coast Suns (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% | 2.96I 33.78% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43% | 2.96I 33.78% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43% | 2.96I 33.78% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43% | 2.80I 35.71% | 80.00I 1.25% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 04:35 |