The School of OddsAdelaide Crows v Gold Coast Suns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Adelaide Crows (Local)
Prediction 72.82%1.37fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -9.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.58%72.91%72.73%76.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.291.3381%78%78%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Gold Coast Suns (Visit)
Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV +8.71%
Edge +2.18%
Kelly +2.90%
Growth +0.253%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%27.09%27.27%30.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.493.504.0034%29%29%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -7.51%E -5.92%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +8.71%E +2.18%K +2.90%G +0.253% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.97%E -7.18%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +8.71%E +2.18%K +2.90%G +0.253% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -8.24%E -6.54%K -31.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +4.63%E +1.20%K +1.62%G +0.075% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.97%E -7.18%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +3.27%E +0.861%K +1.17%G +0.038% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 09:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.24%E -6.54%K -31.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +1.91%E +0.510%K +0.695%G +0.013% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 09:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +0.282%E +0.076%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 09:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.16%E -0.601%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 05:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.16%E -0.601%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 09:54 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.16%E -0.601%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.16%E -0.601%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 09:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 09:54 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.97%E -7.18%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 09:19 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 02:53 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 02:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 09:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.51%E -5.92%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.14%E -2.36%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.96%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 06:34 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.96%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.59%EV -10.43%E -8.48%K -45.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -15.75%E -5.08%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-11 09:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -17.11%E -5.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -17.11%E -5.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -19.83%E -6.72%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 07:15 |