Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins v New York Giants

2026-08-22 20:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 43.22%2.31fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.852%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%43.25%43.26%45.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.202.3648.08%45.86%45.45%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 56.78%1.76fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.59%56.75%56.74%59.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.691.7461.73%58.88%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Dolphins (Local): 43.22%; New York Giants (Visit): 56.78%. For Miami Dolphins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.36, producing a positive expected value of +2.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +2.01%E +0.852%K +1.48%G +0.030%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 15:49
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 07:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 19:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 16:04
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 19:45
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 12:34
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 13:39
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.48%E -2.05%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 16:26
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 15:49
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 10:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 10:55
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 11:00
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 19:24
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:49
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.21%E -0.696%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.48%E -2.05%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 08:10
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.48%E -2.05%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -7.93%E -3.72%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.36%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.21%E -0.696%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 13:15
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.36%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.21%E -0.696%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.36%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.21%E -0.696%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 13:19
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.36%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.21%E -0.696%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 13:19
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.36%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.21%E -0.696%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 00:44
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 00:44
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 05:14
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.09%E -4.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%1.4%2026-08-18 15:50
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-08-18 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-17 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-17 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-17 22:29
Arbitrage (6 combinations) +0.16%DraftKings 2.36 (42.4%) / FanDuel 1.74 (57.6%)Show all 6 combinations
Miami Dolphins (Local)New York Giants (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 2.36 (42.4%)FanDuel🎯 1.74 (57.6%)+0.156%
DraftKings🎯 2.36 (42.4%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.74 (57.6%)+0.156%
DraftKings🎯 2.36 (42.4%)BetRivers🎯 1.74 (57.6%)+0.156%
DraftKings🎯 2.36 (42.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.74 (57.6%)+0.156%
DraftKings🎯 2.36 (42.4%)betPARX🎯 1.74 (57.6%)+0.156%
DraftKings🎯 2.36 (42.4%)Bally Bet🎯 1.74 (57.6%)+0.156%

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