The School of Odds

Tennessee Titans v New York Jets

2026-09-13 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tennessee Titans (Local)

Prediction 57.66%1.73fair odd
EV +0.909%
Edge +0.520%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%57.58%57.64%59.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.471.661.671.75MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
54.83%1.824Min
59.30%1.686Max
57.58%1.737Mean
57.64%1.735Median
57.66%1.734IQM
57.62%1.736Margin-weighted

New York Jets (Visit)

Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV -0.084%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%42.42%42.36%45.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.022.232.232.36MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
40.70%2.457Min
45.17%2.214Max
42.42%2.358Mean
42.36%2.361Median
42.34%2.362IQM
42.38%2.359Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTennessee Titans (Local) ▼New York Jets (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.75I 57.14% NM 55.24%EV +0.909% E +0.520% K +1.21% G +0.011%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.76%EV -8.55% E -3.96% K -7.37% G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 23:00
SportsBet1.73I 57.80% NM 55.18%EV -0.244% E -0.141% K -0.334% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.82%EV -9.82% E -4.61% K -8.69% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 22:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -0.244% E -0.141% K -0.334% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -11.09% E -5.28% K -10.08% G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 23:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -0.244% E -0.141% K -0.334% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -11.09% E -5.28% K -10.08% G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -1.40% E -0.817% K -1.97% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -6.86% E -3.12% K -5.71% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-03 08:35
TAB1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -1.97% E -1.16% K -2.82% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -8.97% E -4.17% K -7.80% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 05:40
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.61%EV -1.97% E -1.16% K -2.82% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.39%EV -9.82% E -4.61% K -8.69% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -2.55% E -1.51% K -3.70% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -4.74% E -2.11% K -3.79% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-02 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52% NM 56.25%EV -3.13% E -1.86% K -4.60% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.75%EV -8.55% E -3.96% K -7.37% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 18:58
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88% NM 58.15%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.85%EV -1.78% E -0.766% K -1.35% G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-24 05:20
Bovada1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-06 11:12
GTbets1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-02 17:30
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 13:59
BetUS1.67I 59.88% NM 57.83%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 42.17%EV -3.05% E -1.33% K -2.36% G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-22 17:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:30
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:30
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:29
betPARX1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -5.59% E -2.51% K -4.54% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 14:30
BetRivers1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.86% E -3.12% K -5.71% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 14:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.86% E -3.12% K -5.71% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 06:30
Bet Right1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.70% E -2.22% K -5.53% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.86% E -3.12% K -5.71% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 14:30
Caesars1.66I 60.24% NM 57.76%EV -4.28% E -2.58% K -6.49% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.24%EV -3.89% E -1.72% K -3.07% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 06:39
ReBet1.66I 60.24% NM 57.44%EV -4.28% E -2.58% K -6.49% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.56%EV -5.16% E -2.31% K -4.16% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-02 17:30
Coral1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.86% E -2.94% K -7.47% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 12:28
BetMGM1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.86% E -2.94% K -7.47% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.86% E -2.94% K -7.47% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 12:30
Neds1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.86% E -2.94% K -7.47% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.74% E -2.11% K -3.79% G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.86% E -2.94% K -7.47% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.74% E -2.11% K -3.79% G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.86% E -2.94% K -7.47% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.74% E -2.11% K -3.79% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.86% E -2.94% K -7.47% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.86% E -3.12% K -5.71% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 06:59
Coolbet1.64I 60.98% NM 57.51%EV -5.43% E -3.31% K -8.49% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.49%EV -6.01% E -2.71% K -4.93% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 11:34
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35% NM 59.05%EV -6.01% E -3.69% K -9.54% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.95%EV -0.507% E -0.216% K -0.376% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 11:14
DraftKings1.62I 61.73% NM 59.30%EV -6.59% E -4.07% K -10.62% G +0.000%2.36I 42.37% NM 40.70%EV -0.084% E -0.035% K -0.061% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 11:15
Fanatics1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -6.59% E -4.07% K -10.62% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -2.62% E -1.14% K -2.02% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.59% E -4.07% K -10.62% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -6.86% E -3.12% K -5.71% G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 14:18
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -6.59% E -4.07% K -10.62% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -8.97% E -4.17% K -7.80% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-02 17:49
NordicBet1.61I 62.11% NM 57.52%EV -7.16% E -4.45% K -11.74% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.48%EV -7.70% E -3.53% K -6.53% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 11:35
Betsson1.61I 62.11% NM 57.52%EV -7.16% E -4.45% K -11.74% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.48%EV -7.70% E -3.53% K -6.53% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 11:35
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03% NM 57.88%EV -15.24% E -10.36% K -32.42% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 42.12%EV -14.48% E -7.17% K -14.19% G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-06 11:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerTennessee Titans (Local)New York Jets (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88% NM 57.61%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.39%3.9%2026-07-03 08:50
Smarkets1.61I 62.11% NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30% NM 42.71%8.4%2026-07-02 17:30
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.49%FanDuel 1.75 (57.4%) / DraftKings 2.36 (42.6%)Show all 2 combinations
Tennessee Titans (Local)New York Jets (Visit)Margin
FanDuel 1.75 (57.4%)DraftKings 2.36 (42.6%)+0.487%
FanDuel 1.75 (57.3%)PointsBet (AU) 2.35 (42.7%)+0.305%