New York Giants v New Orleans Saints

2026-10-18 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Giants (Local)

Prediction 59.36%1.68fair odd

EV -0.276%

Edge -0.164%

Kelly -0.406%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.14%59.36%59.36%61.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.561.621.621.68MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

57.14%1.750Min

61.58%1.624Max

59.36%1.685Mean

59.36%1.685Median

59.36%1.685IQM

59.37%1.684Margin-weighted

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 40.64%2.46fair odd

EV +1.60%

Edge +0.640%

Kelly +1.07%

Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.42%40.64%40.64%42.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.242.372.372.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

38.42%2.603Min

42.86%2.333Max

40.64%2.461Mean

40.64%2.461Median

40.64%2.461IQM

40.63%2.461Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	New York Giants (Local)	New Orleans Saints (Visit) ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -7.40% E -4.74% K -13.21% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV +1.60% E +0.640% K +1.07% G +0.017%	4.1%	2026-06-15 22:47
DraftKings	1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -0.276% E -0.164% K -0.406% G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -8.97% E -4.00% K -7.23% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-15 00:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.48%DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%) / Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)Show details

DraftKings Caesars

New York Giants (Local)	New Orleans Saints (Visit)	Margin
DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)	+0.478%