The School of Odds

New York Giants v Dallas Cowboys

2026-09-14 00:20 — NFL

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Giants (Local)

Prediction 43.66%2.29fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.921%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.50%43.57%43.68%46.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.952.182.202.34MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
41.50%2.410Min
46.32%2.159Max
43.57%2.295Mean
43.68%2.290Median
43.66%2.291IQM
43.51%2.299Margin-weighted

Dallas Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 56.34%1.77fair odd
EV -0.835%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%56.43%56.32%58.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.681.681.76MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
53.68%1.863Min
58.50%1.709Max
56.43%1.772Mean
56.32%1.775Median
56.34%1.775IQM
56.49%1.770Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNew York Giants (Local) ▼Dallas Cowboys (Visit)MarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74% NM 41.50%EV +2.16% E +0.921% K +1.61% G +0.035%1.66I 60.24% NM 58.50%EV -6.47% E -3.90% K -9.80% G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 20:00
BetUS2.29I 43.67% NM 42.17%EV -0.027% E -0.012% K -0.021% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.83%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-25 18:09
FanDuel2.28I 43.86% NM 42.13%EV -0.463% E -0.203% K -0.362% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.87%EV -6.47% E -3.90% K -9.80% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -1.77% E -0.788% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -4.78% E -2.83% K -6.93% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -1.77% E -0.788% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 15:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -1.77% E -0.788% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 15:45
Coral2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -1.77% E -0.788% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 15:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -1.77% E -0.788% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.82% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -1.77% E -0.788% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -8.72% E -5.38% K -14.07% G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -2.65% E -1.19% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -2.65% E -1.19% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -2.65% E -1.19% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:24
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -2.65% E -1.19% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -2.65% E -1.19% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.65% E -2.14% K -5.14% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 21:05
GTbets2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.65% E -2.14% K -5.14% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 17:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.65% E -2.14% K -5.14% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.65% E -2.14% K -5.14% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 17:39
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.22% E -2.48% K -6.02% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 17:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -4.78% E -2.83% K -6.93% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 17:34
TAB2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 05:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 17:23
Neds2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -3.96% E -1.80% K -3.30% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.82% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 17:20
Caesars2.19I 45.66% NM 43.85%EV -4.39% E -2.01% K -3.69% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.15%EV -3.65% E -2.14% K -5.14% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 10:49
ReBet2.19I 45.66% NM 43.56%EV -4.39% E -2.01% K -3.69% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.44%EV -4.78% E -2.83% K -6.93% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 17:19
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -6.14% E -2.86% K -5.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -1.96% E -1.13% K -2.65% G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 14:30
Bovada2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -6.14% E -2.86% K -5.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -1.96% E -1.13% K -2.65% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 17:34
Coolbet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -6.14% E -2.86% K -5.34% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 17:44
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.14% E -2.86% K -5.34% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.91% E -3.54% K -8.82% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 04:30
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -6.14% E -2.86% K -5.34% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.58%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.82% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 17:18
DraftKings2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -6.58% E -3.07% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -1.96% E -1.13% K -2.65% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 17:34
Bet Right2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -6.58% E -3.07% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -3.65% E -2.14% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 21:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73% NM 43.98%EV -6.58% E -3.07% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.02%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73% NM 43.98%EV -6.58% E -3.07% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.02%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:24
Unibet2.14I 46.73% NM 43.98%EV -6.58% E -3.07% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.02%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:43
BetRivers2.12I 47.17% NM 44.21%EV -7.45% E -3.51% K -6.65% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 55.79%EV -5.34% E -3.18% K -7.86% G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 17:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17% NM 43.62%EV -7.45% E -3.51% K -6.65% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 56.38%EV -7.60% E -4.63% K -11.87% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 17:39
NordicBet2.12I 47.17% NM 43.62%EV -7.45% E -3.51% K -6.65% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 56.38%EV -7.60% E -4.63% K -11.87% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 17:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -8.32% E -3.96% K -7.57% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -2.53% E -1.46% K -3.46% G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 18:15
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -8.32% E -3.96% K -7.57% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -3.09% E -1.80% K -4.29% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 19:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -8.32% E -3.96% K -7.57% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -4.22% E -2.48% K -6.02% G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 08:39
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62% NM 44.00%EV -8.32% E -3.96% K -7.57% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.00%EV -7.03% E -4.26% K -10.82% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 19:05
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02% NM 46.32%EV -10.94% E -5.36% K -10.52% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 53.68%EV -0.835% E -0.475% K -1.10% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28% NM 43.48%EV -14.87% E -7.63% K -15.65% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 56.52%EV -15.48% E -10.32% K -30.97% G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-08 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerNew York Giants (Local)Dallas Cowboys (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.27I 44.05% NM 42.39%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.61%3.9%2026-07-08 19:20
Smarkets2.12I 47.17% NM 43.62%1.64I 60.98% NM 56.38%8.1%2026-06-24 17:20
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.45%Pinnacle 2.34 (42.9%) / MyBookie.ag 1.76 (57.1%)Show details
New York Giants (Local)Dallas Cowboys (Visit)Margin
Pinnacle 2.34 (42.9%)MyBookie.ag 1.76 (57.1%)+0.449%