The School of Odds

Minnesota Vikings v Green Bay Packers

2026-09-13 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 49.49%2.02fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.708%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%49.42%49.60%51.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.931.942.05MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
46.34%2.158Min
51.46%1.943Max
49.42%2.024Mean
49.60%2.016Median
49.49%2.021IQM
49.51%2.020Margin-weighted

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 50.51%1.98fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.54%50.58%50.40%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.861.832.00MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
48.54%2.060Min
53.66%1.863Max
50.58%1.977Mean
50.40%1.984Median
50.51%1.980IQM
50.49%1.981Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMinnesota Vikings (Local) ▼Green Bay Packers (Visit)MarginUpdated
TAB2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV +1.45% E +0.708% K +1.38% G +0.020%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -10.60% E -5.99% K -13.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:40
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:40
Coral2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 20:29
BetMGM2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 20:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -1.02% E -0.511% K -1.02% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -11.61% E -6.63% K -15.47% G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 23:28
Neds1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -2.01% E -1.02% K -2.05% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -2.01% E -1.02% K -2.05% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 20:31
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76% NM 48.43%EV -2.51% E -1.27% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.57%EV -6.55% E -3.54% K -7.71% G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76% NM 48.43%EV -2.51% E -1.27% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.57%EV -6.55% E -3.54% K -7.71% G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:09
FanDuel1.96I 51.02% NM 49.09%EV -3.00% E -1.53% K -3.13% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.91%EV -4.53% E -2.40% K -5.09% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 02:40
Unibet1.96I 51.02% NM 48.42%EV -3.00% E -1.53% K -3.13% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 51.58%EV -7.06% E -3.84% K -8.40% G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 17:40
Coolbet1.96I 51.02% NM 48.15%EV -3.00% E -1.53% K -3.13% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 51.85%EV -8.07% E -4.43% K -9.84% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 14:30
SportsBet1.95I 51.28% NM 49.22%EV -3.50% E -1.79% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.78%EV -4.53% E -2.40% K -5.09% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 22:59
Caesars1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -3.50% E -1.79% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -5.54% E -2.96% K -6.37% G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -3.50% E -1.79% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -5.54% E -2.96% K -6.37% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 09:19
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -3.50% E -1.79% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 17:39
betPARX1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -3.50% E -1.79% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 17:38
BetRivers1.94I 51.55% NM 48.54%EV -3.99% E -2.06% K -4.25% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.46%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 17:39
DraftKings1.93I 51.81% NM 49.48%EV -4.49% E -2.32% K -4.82% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.52%EV -4.53% E -2.40% K -5.09% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 11:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -5.48% E -2.87% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -3.52% E -1.84% K -3.87% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 23:40
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -5.48% E -2.87% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -3.52% E -1.84% K -3.87% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 23:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -5.48% E -2.87% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -3.52% E -1.84% K -3.87% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 10:30
GTbets1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -5.48% E -2.87% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -3.52% E -1.84% K -3.87% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-02 17:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -5.48% E -2.87% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 02:49
NordicBet1.91I 52.36% NM 48.38%EV -5.48% E -2.87% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 51.62%EV -9.58% E -5.35% K -12.13% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 11:14
Betsson1.91I 52.36% NM 48.38%EV -5.48% E -2.87% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 51.62%EV -9.58% E -5.35% K -12.13% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 11:15
ReBet1.90I 52.63% NM 50.13%EV -5.97% E -3.14% K -6.63% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.87%EV -3.52% E -1.84% K -3.87% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63% NM 50.13%EV -5.97% E -3.14% K -6.63% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.87%EV -3.52% E -1.84% K -3.87% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-02 17:35
Bet Right1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.97% E -3.14% K -6.63% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.03% E -2.12% K -4.48% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.97% E -3.14% K -6.63% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.03% E -2.12% K -4.48% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-02 17:35
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63% NM 49.74%EV -5.97% E -3.14% K -6.63% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.26%EV -5.04% E -2.68% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63% NM 49.60%EV -5.97% E -3.14% K -6.63% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.40%EV -5.54% E -2.96% K -6.37% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-02 15:39
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91% NM 51.41%EV -6.47% E -3.42% K -7.27% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 48.59%EV +1.02% E +0.511% K +1.02% G +0.010%2.9%2026-06-09 06:59
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19% NM 50.00%EV -6.96% E -3.70% K -7.91% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.00%EV -5.04% E -2.68% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-02 17:35
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19% NM 49.33%EV -6.96% E -3.70% K -7.91% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 50.67%EV -7.56% E -4.13% K -9.11% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 20:44
Bovada1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -7.46% E -3.99% K -8.57% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -1.50% E -0.771% K -1.58% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-02 17:34
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 51.46%EV -9.44% E -5.16% K -11.37% G +0.000%1.94I 51.55% NM 48.54%EV -2.01% E -1.04% K -2.14% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:13
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82% NM 50.00%EV -15.87% E -9.33% K -22.67% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 50.00%EV -14.13% E -8.31% K -20.19% G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-06 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerMinnesota Vikings (Local)Green Bay Packers (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95% NM 51.34%1.92I 52.08% NM 48.66%7.0%2026-07-09 04:35
Smarkets1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%8.1%2026-07-02 17:35
Arbitrage (1 combination) +1.23%TAB 2.05 (49.4%) / Pinnacle 2.00 (50.6%)Show details
Minnesota Vikings (Local)Green Bay Packers (Visit)Margin
TAB 2.05 (49.4%)Pinnacle 2.00 (50.6%)+1.23%