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Minnesota Vikings v Buffalo Bills

2026-11-10 01:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 39.30%2.54fair odd
EV +0.203%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.39%39.22%43.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.432.452.5545.66%41.19%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 60.70%1.65fair odd
EV +0.770%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.88%60.61%60.78%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.561.571.6671.43%63.99%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 39.30%; Buffalo Bills (Visit): 60.70%. For Buffalo Bills (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.66, producing a positive expected value of +0.770%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -13.94%E -6.37%K -11.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV +0.770%E +0.464%K +1.17%G +0.009%5.9%2026-11-06 20:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 20:14
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-06 20:20
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-06 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.87%E -1.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-06 20:14
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.48%E -2.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-05 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.48%E -2.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-06 20:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.48%E -2.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-06 20:14
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.91%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.48%E -2.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.48%E -2.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-06 20:15
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.48%E -2.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-06 21:40
Caesars🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 06:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-05 19:30
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-06 20:19
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-06 20:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-06 20:15
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-06 16:23
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.203%E +0.080%K +0.131%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-07 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:24
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-05 19:25
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-05 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.91%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-06 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 20:19
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 20:20
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 01:15
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-06 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-02 22:24
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 20:15
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 22:25
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 20:14
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 20:15
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.51%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 23:45
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.51%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 23:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 20:20
betfred_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.91%E -3.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 12:05
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.91%E -3.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.91%E -3.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-05 19:30
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.91%E -3.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-06 20:19
SportsBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 13:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-05 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-05 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-05 21:59
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.76%E -0.705%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-05 22:00
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.73%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.73%E -5.08%K -14.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-06 13:38
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.73%E -5.08%K -14.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-06 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -7.66%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -10.16%E -6.86%K -21.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-06 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.11%EV -15.01%E -10.72%K -37.53%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-02 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-11-07 12:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-11-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-11-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-11-07 00:10
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-11-07 15:00
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-11-07 15:55
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-11-06 17:20
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-11-07 00:40
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-11-07 05:50
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%8.5%2026-11-07 14:15
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.55%Everygame 2.55 (39.4%) / Marathon Bet 1.66 (60.6%)Show details
Minnesota Vikings (Local)Buffalo Bills (Visit)Margin
Everygame🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 1.66 (60.6%)+0.546%

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