Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers v New England Patriots

2026-11-30 01:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 56.12%1.78fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +2.62%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%56.12%56.12%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.711.711.8262.89%58.65%58.65%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV +3.11%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%43.88%43.88%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.192.192.3549.50%45.77%45.77%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -10.76%E -6.77%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +3.11%E +1.32%K +2.30%G +0.072%5.4%2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.15%E +1.18%K +2.62%G +0.056%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -11.37%E -5.63%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 04:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +2.57%DraftKings 1.82 (56.4%) / Caesars 2.35 (43.6%)Show details
Los Angeles Chargers (Local)New England Patriots (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.82 (56.4%)Caesars 2.35 (43.6%)+2.57%