The School of Odds
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Chicago Bears v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-11-09 01:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 69.84%1.43fair odd
EV -0.833%
Edge -0.586%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%69.52%69.93%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.361.361.4280.65%73.43%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.752%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.48%30.07%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.143.203.4035.46%31.81%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Bears (Local): 69.84%; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit): 30.16%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.40, producing a positive expected value of +2.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +2.56%E +0.752%K +1.07%G +0.027%2.9%2026-11-03 23:16
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.460%E -0.139%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-05 02:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 12:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-05 13:40
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.87%E -0.892%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.87%E -0.892%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 13:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -2.87%E -0.892%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 13:19
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.93%E -2.11%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-03 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 20:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 13:50
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 12:55
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 14:19
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 12:29
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 12:30
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-03 12:55
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-03 12:54
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-03 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 12:30
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-06 20:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-06 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-06 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 12:34
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 10:34
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.12%E -5.35%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-06 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.12%E -5.35%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-07 00:55
TAB🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 12:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 12:30
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 12:30
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -2.93%E -2.11%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -5.89%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 13:15
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.12%E -5.35%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -5.89%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-06 17:48
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.12%E -5.35%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -5.89%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-06 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.23%E -1.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-07 02:09
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 20:14
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-05 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 13:14
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 05:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 06:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 06:00
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 06:00
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 13:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -9.21%E -7.09%K -30.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-06 23:34
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -2.93%E -2.11%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-05 13:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.32%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-05 20:55
picklebet_au🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-07 13:15
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.12%E -5.35%K -21.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.02%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-07 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -14.03%E -4.92%K -7.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.68%EV -13.40%E -10.81%K -55.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.32%EV -14.03%E -4.92%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-03 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -0.833%E -0.586%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -14.94%E -5.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-11-07 15:05
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-11-07 15:40
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-11-04 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-11-07 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-11-07 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-11-07 12:05
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-11-07 12:05
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-11-07 09:45
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-11-07 13:45
BetOpenly◎1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%5.5%2026-11-04 02:10
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.17%Marathon Bet 1.42 (70.5%) / Everygame 3.40 (29.5%)Show details
Chicago Bears (Local)Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)Margin
Marathon Bet🎯 1.42 (70.5%)Everygame🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.166%

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