Language:English
Oklahoma State Cowboys v UCF Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oklahoma State Cowboys (Local)
Prediction 76.91%1.30fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -11.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.75%77.03%76.84%78.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.241.2683.33%81.25%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UCF Knights (Visit)
Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +0.864%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%22.97%23.16%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.174.184.5027.03%23.98%23.92%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma State Cowboys (Local): 76.91%; UCF Knights (Visit): 23.09%. For UCF Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.89%E +0.864%K +1.11%G +0.043% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.58%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.730%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.40%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -1.19%E -0.278%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.88%E -0.443%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 15:16 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.96%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.96%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.35%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.63%E -3.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.50%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -5.40%E -4.39%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.38%EV -6.96%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.66%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.09%E -2.45%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.12%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.09%E -2.45%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.70%E -6.42%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.86%E -3.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.58%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 15:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |