Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Battlehawks v Louisville Kings

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 22:05 UTC

Final: St. Louis Battlehawks 20–29 Louisville Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Battlehawks (Local)

Prediction 54.32%1.84fair odd
EV -0.598%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.15%54.26%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.781.781.8357.47%56.26%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Kings (Visit)

Prediction 45.68%2.19fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.830%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.85%45.74%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.062.1552.63%48.66%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Battlehawks (Local): 54.32%; Louisville Kings (Visit): 45.68%. For St. Louis Battlehawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.598%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.598%E -0.327%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.598%E -0.327%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.14%E -0.627%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 21:58
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 21:59
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.92%E -5.60%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 21:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 22:00
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.78%E -0.830%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 21:59
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.78%E -0.830%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 21:56
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 21:59
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 21:59
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -13.20%E -6.95%K -14.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-07 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.