Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Battlehawks v Dallas Renegades

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 00:00 UTC

Final: St. Louis Battlehawks 16–20 Dallas Renegades

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Battlehawks (Local)

Prediction 71.02%1.41fair odd
EV -0.575%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.68%70.99%70.50%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.361.4078.13%74.32%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Renegades (Visit)

Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.411%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%29.01%29.50%31.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.073.283.203.5032.57%30.46%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Battlehawks (Local): 71.02%; Dallas Renegades (Visit): 28.98%. For Dallas Renegades (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.55%E -4.17%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.44%E +0.411%K +0.575%G +0.008%3.8%2026-05-29 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.26%E -4.74%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.44%E +0.411%K +0.575%G +0.008%4.3%2026-05-29 21:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.44%E +0.411%K +0.575%G +0.008%4.9%2026-05-29 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.278%E +0.080%K +0.113%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 21:29
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.84%E -3.61%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 23:08
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.84%E -3.61%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 23:08
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.97%E -5.32%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 21:19
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:39
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:16
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.71%E -1.97%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 23:49
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 18:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:39
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:39
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.42%E -2.51%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -7.84%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 12:09
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.17%EV -9.10%E -7.11%K -32.49%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.83%EV -8.42%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -0.575%E -0.411%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -11.03%E -3.59%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.