The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St. Louis Battlehawks v Birmingham Stallions

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 19:08 UTC

Final: St. Louis Battlehawks 34–30 Birmingham Stallions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Battlehawks (Local)

Prediction 45.16%2.21fair odd
EV -0.652%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.544%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%45.25%45.49%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.122.2050.00%47.57%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Birmingham Stallions (Visit)

Prediction 54.84%1.82fair odd
EV +0.361%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.435%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.75%54.51%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.741.8361.35%57.68%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Battlehawks (Local): 45.16%; Birmingham Stallions (Visit): 54.84%. For Birmingham Stallions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.361%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.361%E +0.197%K +0.435%G +0.002%4.6%2026-04-12 19:05
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 18:45
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.93%E -1.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 18:19
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.91%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 18:54
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:05
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.26%E -2.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 19:05
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.68%E -4.84%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 19:05
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.652%E -0.296%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.22%E -3.64%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 18:37
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.652%E -0.296%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.01%E -0.925%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.77%E -3.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 20:30
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.652%E -0.296%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.32%E -4.33%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:15
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -10.61%E -6.51%K -16.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.