The School of Odds
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Orlando Storm v St. Louis Battlehawks

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Storm (Local)

Prediction 58.21%1.72fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.53%58.25%58.23%58.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.641.6764.52%60.98%60.98%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Battlehawks (Visit)

Prediction 41.79%2.39fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%41.75%41.77%42.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.3547.62%43.87%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Storm (Local): 58.21%; St. Louis Battlehawks (Visit): 41.79%. For St. Louis Battlehawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.79%E -1.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 09:28
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.79%E -1.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 16:19
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 12:01
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 06:59
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 04:19
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 02:59
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 00:09
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 00:09
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 00:09
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 06:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 04:19
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 04:23
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.77%E -6.30%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 08:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.