The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Orlando Storm v Louisville Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 00:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Storm (Local)

Prediction 54.58%1.83fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.70%54.77%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.721.8061.35%57.89%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Kings (Visit)

Prediction 45.42%2.20fair odd
EV -0.085%
Edge -0.038%
Kelly -0.071%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%45.30%45.23%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.152.2050.00%47.17%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Storm (Local): 54.58%; Louisville Kings (Visit): 45.42%. For Louisville Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.202. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.200, with an expected value of -0.085%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.75%E -0.972%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.90%E -3.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 00:04
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.75%E -0.972%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.90%E -3.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.75%E -0.972%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.90%E -3.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.63%E -2.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.17%E -4.58%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.90%E -3.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 00:02
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 00:04
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 00:04
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.90%E -3.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 00:04
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.993%E -0.456%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.993%E -0.456%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:04
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.993%E -0.456%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.993%E -0.456%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:04
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.993%E -0.456%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.993%E -0.456%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.75%E -4.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.085%E -0.038%K -0.071%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 00:04
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.84%E -5.30%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:03
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -11.03%E -6.77%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -6.90%E -3.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.