The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Orlando Storm v DC Defenders

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 00:00 UTC

Final: Orlando Storm 27–19 DC Defenders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Storm (Local)

Prediction 52.86%1.89fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.92%53.13%52.22%55.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.831.8358.14%55.54%54.64%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

DC Defenders (Visit)

Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV +0.404%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.358%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%46.87%47.78%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.022.002.1352.91%49.52%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Storm (Local): 52.86%; DC Defenders (Visit): 47.14%. For DC Defenders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.404%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -9.08%E -5.28%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV +0.404%E +0.190%K +0.358%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -0.067%E -0.032%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.43%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.01%E -0.481%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 23:49
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.96%E -3.96%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.01%E -0.481%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.01%E -0.481%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 23:49
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 22:29
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 21:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:29
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 23:49
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.91%E -5.77%K -12.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.