The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Orlando Storm v DC Defenders

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 19:00 UTC

Final: Orlando Storm 22–28 DC Defenders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Storm (Local)

Prediction 61.43%1.63fair odd
EV -0.490%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.791%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%61.62%61.43%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.43%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

DC Defenders (Visit)

Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.838%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.38%38.57%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6543.48%40.29%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Storm (Local): 61.43%; DC Defenders (Visit): 38.57%. For DC Defenders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +2.22%E +0.838%K +1.35%G +0.030%3.1%2026-06-07 18:49
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.293%E +0.113%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.8%2026-06-07 18:49
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.64%E -0.641%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.64%E -0.641%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 13:29
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:29
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:29
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:28
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:29
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 13:29
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 13:29
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -0.490%E -0.303%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:08
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-06 19:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.