The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisville Kings v St. Louis Battlehawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 00:09 UTC

Final: Louisville Kings 3–16 St. Louis Battlehawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Kings (Local)

Prediction 45.25%2.21fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.805%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%45.32%45.31%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.2550.00%47.95%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Battlehawks (Visit)

Prediction 54.75%1.83fair odd
EV +0.194%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.234%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.68%54.69%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.741.8359.88%56.92%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Kings (Local): 45.25%; St. Louis Battlehawks (Visit): 54.75%. For Louisville Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +1.81%E +0.805%K +1.45%G +0.026%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.47%E -4.42%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-30 23:59
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.452%E -0.205%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.38%E -3.73%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.452%E -0.205%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.38%E -3.73%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 00:04
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.71%E -1.26%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:05
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.09%E -1.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 00:04
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.09%E -1.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 00:04
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 00:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.38%E -3.73%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 00:02
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.47%E -4.42%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 00:03
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.79%E -3.29%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.54%E -1.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-30 23:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.194%E +0.106%K +0.234%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.194%E +0.106%K +0.234%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.194%E +0.106%K +0.234%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.194%E +0.106%K +0.234%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 00:04
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.194%E +0.106%K +0.234%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 00:04
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.194%E +0.106%K +0.234%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 00:04
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.57%E -5.13%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.