The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisville Kings v Orlando Storm

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 00:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Kings (Local)

Prediction 38.77%2.58fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.18%38.57%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5543.48%40.98%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Storm (Visit)

Prediction 61.23%1.63fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.076%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%60.82%61.43%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.561.6767.57%63.84%64.10%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Kings (Local): 38.77%; Orlando Storm (Visit): 61.23%. For Orlando Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +2.26%E +1.35%K +3.37%G +0.076%3.4%2026-04-11 00:05
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.189%E -0.116%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 23:59
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.41%E -0.878%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.64%E -1.66%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.64%E -1.66%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:09
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 00:10
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 00:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:10
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:10
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.09%E -3.28%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 00:09
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.53%E -0.604%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 00:06
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.15%E -0.449%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.31%E -4.13%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.31%E -4.13%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 00:02
ReBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -8.51%E -3.61%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -9.37%E -6.33%K -19.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.