默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Louisville Kings v DC Defenders

开赛时间： 2026-06-13 19:15 UTC

最终结果： Louisville Kings 27–20 DC Defenders

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

53%

47%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Louisville Kings (主队)

预测 52.84%1.89公平赔率

EV -1.19%

优势 -0.637%

Kelly -1.37%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布

51.05%52.89%52.73%55.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.731.801.811.8757.80%55.59%55.10%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

DC Defenders (客队)

预测 47.16%2.12公平赔率

EV +1.40%

优势 +0.649%

Kelly +1.21%

增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布

44.73%47.11%47.27%48.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.932.022.002.1551.81%49.60%50.00%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Louisville Kings (主队)：52.84%；DC Defenders (客队)：47.16%。对于“DC Defenders (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.12。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.15，对应+1.40%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.06%E -4.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.40%E +0.649%K +1.21%G +0.017%	4.0%	2026-06-13 19:10
BetAnything🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.06%E -4.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.40%E +0.649%K +1.21%G +0.017%	4.0%	2026-06-13 19:10
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-13 19:10
FanDuel🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-13 19:01
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-13 19:10
BetUS🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.06%E -4.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-13 19:07
Caesars🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.83%E -2.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.26%E -2.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-13 19:09
Pinnacle🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.36%E -2.41%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-13 18:59
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-13 19:08
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-13 19:10
BetRivers🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-13 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-13 18:59
Unibet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-13 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-13 18:59
betPARX🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-13 18:58
Bally Bet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-13 18:59
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.19%E -0.637%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-13 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-13 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-13 19:10
ReBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.77%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-13 18:59

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。