The School of Odds
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Houston Gamblers v St. Louis Battlehawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 23:00 UTC

Final: Houston Gamblers 15–21 St. Louis Battlehawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Gamblers (Local)

Prediction 40.01%2.50fair odd
EV +6.02%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +3.65%
Growth +0.219%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%39.86%40.15%42.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.392.382.6546.51%41.81%42.02%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Battlehawks (Visit)

Prediction 59.99%1.67fair odd
EV +0.190%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.64%60.14%59.85%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.611.6766.23%62.69%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Gamblers (Local): 40.01%; St. Louis Battlehawks (Visit): 59.99%. For Houston Gamblers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +6.02%E +2.27%K +3.65%G +0.219%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -9.41%E -6.23%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 22:27
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +4.02%E +1.54%K +2.51%G +0.101%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -8.81%E -5.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +2.02%E +0.790%K +1.30%G +0.026%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +2.02%E +0.790%K +1.30%G +0.026%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.81%E -5.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.385%E -0.155%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 22:20
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.99%E -0.810%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 22:20
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.79%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 22:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 15:10
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.01%E -2.51%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 12:40
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 21:00
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 20:58
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.190%E +0.114%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.4%2026-05-22 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 01:30
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -13.99%E -6.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.