The School of Odds
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Houston Gamblers v Orlando Storm

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 22:00 UTC

Final: Houston Gamblers 23–24 Orlando Storm

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Gamblers (Local)

Prediction 38.01%2.63fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +0.977%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%37.75%37.93%39.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.522.522.7043.10%39.71%39.68%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Storm (Visit)

Prediction 61.99%1.61fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.73%62.25%62.07%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5767.57%64.91%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Gamblers (Local): 38.01%; Orlando Storm (Visit): 61.99%. For Houston Gamblers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.64%E +0.977%K +1.55%G +0.041%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 04:49
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.16%E -0.448%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 16:42
Caesars🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -1.54%E -0.596%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 21:08
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.30%E -0.897%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 20:59
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:09
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 13:49
BetRivers🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:09
betPARX🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:09
Bally Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:09
Unibet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.21%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:09
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 21:09
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 21:09
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 16:44
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 20:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.11%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 21:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:09
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.87%E -2.80%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:09
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -11.81%E -5.09%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.