The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Gamblers v Louisville Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 00:09 UTC

Final: Houston Gamblers 22–24 Louisville Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Gamblers (Local)

Prediction 40.11%2.49fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.703%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.40%40.22%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.402.4545.45%42.24%41.67%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Kings (Visit)

Prediction 59.89%1.67fair odd
EV +0.010%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.015%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.60%59.78%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.591.6765.79%62.60%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Gamblers (Local): 40.11%; Louisville Kings (Visit): 59.89%. For Louisville Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.6698. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.6700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.010%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 00:03
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 23:55
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 23:55
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 00:04
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 00:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.72%E -0.703%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 20:57
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 22:28
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 00:39
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.72%E -0.703%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:59
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:59
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:59
ReBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.34%E -4.13%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.