The School of Odds
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Houston Gamblers v Columbus Aviators

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Gamblers (Local)

Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.45%34.76%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.752.8040.00%37.22%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 65.07%1.54fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.963%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.58%64.55%65.24%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.481.451.5671.94%67.64%68.97%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Gamblers (Local): 34.93%; Columbus Aviators (Visit): 65.07%. For Columbus Aviators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -10.22%E -3.98%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +1.50%E +0.963%K +2.68%G +0.040%3.0%2026-04-21 22:09
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +1.50%E +0.963%K +2.68%G +0.040%3.3%2026-04-22 18:16
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +1.50%E +0.963%K +2.68%G +0.040%3.3%2026-04-22 16:19
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -12.66%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +1.50%E +0.963%K +2.68%G +0.040%4.1%2026-04-22 02:59
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -11.27%E -4.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV +0.201%E +0.130%K +0.372%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-22 18:13
Caesars🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -6.03%E -2.24%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 06:13
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 04:25
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.18%E -0.780%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 00:09
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.00%E -3.43%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 00:15
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.18%E -0.780%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.88%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 00:09
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 00:09
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.96%E -4.86%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 04:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.96%E -4.86%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 04:23
ReBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.55%EV -11.97%E -4.75%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45%EV -9.56%E -6.88%K -24.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-21 08:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.