The School of Odds
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DC Defenders v Orlando Storm

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 16:10 UTC

Final: DC Defenders 23–29 Orlando Storm

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

DC Defenders (Local)

Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.926%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.00%48.47%48.04%50.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.931.922.0355.25%51.71%52.08%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Storm (Visit)

Prediction 51.66%1.94fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.86%51.53%51.96%53.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.9155.56%53.70%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: DC Defenders (Local): 48.34%; Orlando Storm (Visit): 51.66%. For Orlando Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -1.88%E -0.926%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 15:59
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:00
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 15:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 15:59
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 15:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.71%E -3.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 15:59
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.84%E -0.967%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:59
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.20%E -3.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -8.16%E -4.30%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -1.32%E -0.691%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 15:59
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 16:00
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%EV -12.51%E -6.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.