The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dallas Renegades v Houston Gamblers

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Renegades (Local)

Prediction 68.92%1.45fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -8.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.63%69.11%68.89%70.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.381.381.4074.63%72.36%72.20%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Gamblers (Visit)

Prediction 31.08%3.22fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.410%
Kelly +0.591%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.44%30.89%31.11%32.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.003.2635.71%32.84%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Renegades (Local): 68.92%; Houston Gamblers (Visit): 31.08%. For Houston Gamblers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.28%E -4.61%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +1.34%E +0.410%K +0.591%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-28 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.28%E -4.61%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.03%E +0.316%K +0.456%G +0.005%4.3%2026-03-28 03:04
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.61%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.529%E -0.165%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 23:15
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 00:24
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.21%E -3.03%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 10:00
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.19%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 07:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.21%E -3.03%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.12%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:04
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:04
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:05
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 22:09
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 03:05
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.61%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 23:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.61%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 23:44
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.30%E -2.81%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 07:39
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -7.65%E -5.71%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.96%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.