The School of Odds
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Columbus Aviators v Louisville Kings

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 22:10 UTC

Final: Columbus Aviators 27–42 Louisville Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Aviators (Local)

Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV +0.131%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.69%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.921.902.0053.48%52.21%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Kings (Visit)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.31%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.891.911.9556.82%52.98%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Aviators (Local): 50.07%; Louisville Kings (Visit): 49.93%. For Columbus Aviators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.997. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.131%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.131%E +0.065%K +0.131%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.131%E +0.065%K +0.131%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.37%E -0.696%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.12%E -4.41%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.12%E -5.62%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 21:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 22:00
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 20:16
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 21:00
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 20:59
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 20:57
ReBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -12.12%E -6.88%K -15.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.