The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Columbus Aviators v Houston Gamblers

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 00:10 UTC

Final: Columbus Aviators 24–17 Houston Gamblers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Aviators (Local)

Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.85%61.88%61.10%63.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.5967.57%64.56%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Gamblers (Visit)

Prediction 38.29%2.61fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.416%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.39%38.12%38.90%39.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.492.452.6442.19%40.15%40.82%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Aviators (Local): 61.71%; Houston Gamblers (Visit): 38.29%. For Houston Gamblers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -6.83%E -4.52%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV +1.10%E +0.416%K +0.670%G +0.007%4.1%2026-05-02 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.433%E -0.167%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.433%E -0.167%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.35%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 23:49
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.35%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.50%E -1.39%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 22:59
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 22:21
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.89%E -1.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.65%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-01 23:49
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 15:10
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:20
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 00:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.12%E -1.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -6.56%E -2.69%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 15:14
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.56%EV -8.68%E -5.86%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.44%EV -9.24%E -3.90%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.