The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Birmingham Stallions v Dallas Renegades

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 00:09 UTC

Final: Birmingham Stallions 21–17 Dallas Renegades

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Birmingham Stallions (Local)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.49%48.16%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.972.0054.64%51.32%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Renegades (Visit)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.51%51.84%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.851.831.8955.25%54.16%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Birmingham Stallions (Local): 48.40%; Dallas Renegades (Visit): 51.60%. For Dallas Renegades (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.89, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:04
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 23:59
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:00
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:04
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.16%E -2.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.06%E -2.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:00
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.61%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.00%E -1.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:58
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.00%E -1.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.07%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:04
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.49%E -5.07%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:02
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.49%E -5.07%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 23:59
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -6.61%E -3.65%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.