Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Titans v Chicago Bears

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 22:06 UTC

Final: Tennessee Titans 15–24 Chicago Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Titans (Local)

Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.49%47.96%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.961.952.0652.63%50.96%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 52.11%1.92fair odd
EV -0.462%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -0.508%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.04%52.22%53.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.841.831.9155.87%54.38%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Titans (Local): 47.89%; Chicago Bears (Visit): 52.11%. For Chicago Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.462%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.36%E -0.658%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:00
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.895%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 21:59
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.895%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 22:00
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.895%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 22:00
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.31%E -1.13%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 21:50
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 21:59
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 22:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 22:00
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 21:59
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 22:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 21:49
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 22:00
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.10%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.50%E -0.796%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 21:48
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.50%E -0.796%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:00
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.50%E -0.796%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.15%E -2.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.462%E -0.242%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.462%E -0.242%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.462%E -0.242%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:45
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.63%E -2.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 21:45
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-08-29 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-29 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-29 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-08-29 22:00
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.4%2026-08-29 22:00
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-08-29 21:59