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Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-08-22 23:30 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 48.05%2.08fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.03%48.05%48.05%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.951.962.0052.63%51.24%51.02%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 51.95%1.93fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%51.95%51.95%51.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8555.56%54.79%54.64%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 48.05%; Kansas City Chiefs (Visit): 51.95%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -3.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.90%E -1.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 07:44
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.86%E -2.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 07:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.34%E -2.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 07:49
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.30%E -3.23%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 07:44
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 07:45
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.70%E -4.58%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 07:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-08-17 07:44

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