Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks v Dallas Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 00:10 UTC

Final: Seattle Seahawks 7–17 Dallas Cowboys

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 54.55%1.83fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.23%54.74%54.52%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.751.8160.61%57.64%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 45.45%2.20fair odd
EV -0.010%
Edge -0.004%
Kelly -0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%45.26%45.48%46.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.102.2049.50%47.31%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 54.55%; Dallas Cowboys (Visit): 45.45%. For Dallas Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.2002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.2000, with an expected value of -0.010%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -1.26%E -0.699%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -6.37%E -3.09%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:44
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:44
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:59
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.10%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 23:27
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.74%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:59
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:59
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 23:59
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.01%E -2.40%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 23:59
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 23:58
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.27%E -4.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.010%E -0.004%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 23:59
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.81%E -4.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.36%E -4.97%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.010%E -0.004%K -0.008%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.36%E -4.97%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.010%E -0.004%K -0.008%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.36%E -4.97%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.010%E -0.004%K -0.008%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:34
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.36%E -4.97%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.010%E -0.004%K -0.008%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.36%E -4.97%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.010%E -0.004%K -0.008%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.99%E -6.06%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-15 23:59
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-08-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-08-15 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-08-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-16 00:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 54.57%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.43%11.7%2026-08-16 00:00