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San Francisco 49ers v Tennessee Titans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco 49ers (Local)
Prediction 28.80%3.47fair odd
EV +11.17%
Edge +2.89%
Kelly +3.91%
Growth +0.436%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.61%28.74%28.73%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.303.303.8632.79%30.28%30.30%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tennessee Titans (Visit)
Prediction 71.20%1.40fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -4.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.85%71.26%71.27%75.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.341.351.3879.37%74.57%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 28.80%; Tennessee Titans (Visit): 71.20%. For San Francisco 49ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV +11.17%E +2.89%K +3.91%G +0.436% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -10.29%E -8.17%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 00:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.804%E +0.230%K +0.322%G +0.003% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.804%E +0.230%K +0.322%G +0.003% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.804%E +0.230%K +0.322%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 00:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.08%E -0.611%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.59%E -3.43%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.59%E -3.43%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 00:27 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 00:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 00:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.59%E -3.43%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -6.97%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.26%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.46%E -1.79%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.26%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.46%E -1.79%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 00:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.75%E -1.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.75%E -1.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 00:55 |