Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers v New York Jets

2026-08-21 23:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 59.65%1.68fair odd

EV -3.37%

Edge -2.08%

Kelly -5.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.36%59.65%59.65%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.591.601.6263.69%62.78%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Jets (Visit)

Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd

EV -3.96%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -2.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.75%40.35%40.35%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.312.312.3845.45%43.34%43.29%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 59.65%; New York Jets (Visit): 40.35%. For Pittsburgh Steelers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -3.37%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.79%E -2.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-17 05:55
FanDuel🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.96%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-17 05:50
ReBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.00%E -3.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-17 05:50
SportsBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-17 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.35%E -4.05%K -11.14%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.96%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-17 05:49
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.05%K -11.14%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-17 05:48
LeoVegas🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.35%E -4.05%K -11.14%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.23%E -5.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-17 05:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%	8.0%	2026-08-17 05:50

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