Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers v Green Bay Packers

2026-08-13 23:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Steelers (Local)

Prediction 51.73%1.93fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.61%52.22%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.841.831.9154.95%54.24%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 48.27%2.07fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%48.39%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.972.002.0254.05%50.87%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Steelers (Local): 51.73%; Green Bay Packers (Visit): 48.27%. For Pittsburgh Steelers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -1.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.20%E -0.627%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -6.35%E -3.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 13:04
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.20%E -0.627%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.32%E -3.81%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:05
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.30%E -2.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.84%E -3.54%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 15:09
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 13:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:10
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 15:50
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:13
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.34%E -2.92%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.46%E -1.73%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.85%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.49%E -1.23%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.85%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.35%E -3.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 17:10
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.85%E -3.22%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.35%E -3.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 66.44%1.98I 50.51%NM 33.56%50.5%2026-08-07 19:10