The School of Odds
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New York Jets v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-08-14 23:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 46.68%2.14fair odd
EV -0.107%
Edge -0.050%
Kelly -0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.57%46.42%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1451.28%48.96%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 53.32%1.88fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.43%53.58%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.781.781.8357.47%56.16%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Jets (Local): 46.68%; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit): 53.32%. For New York Jets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.142. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.140, with an expected value of -0.107%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.107%E -0.050%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 14:05
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.97%E -0.940%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 15:49
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 15:48
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 16:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 17:35
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:14
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.18%E -3.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 15:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.98%E -4.60%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.