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New York Jets v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Jets (Local)
Prediction 66.67%1.50fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.32%66.74%66.59%67.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4673.53%70.22%70.18%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)
Prediction 33.33%3.00fair odd
EV +0.004%
Edge +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.08%33.26%33.41%34.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.883.0036.36%34.94%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Jets (Local): 66.67%; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit): 33.33%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.9999. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.0000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.004%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.66%E -0.564%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.00%E -4.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.66%E -0.564%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.00%E -0.679%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.00%E -4.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.33%E -0.795%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.66%E -0.912%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.66%E -0.912%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.66%E -0.912%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.00%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.33%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.33%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.76%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.33%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.00%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.00%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.00%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.67%E -4.76%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.00%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.34%E -6.86%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.00%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.00%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.00%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.00%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.00%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.26%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 23:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.19%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -7.33%E -2.64%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.19%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -7.33%E -2.64%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.67%E -1.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.67%E -1.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.34%E -2.30%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.00%E -4.26%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.76%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 23:03 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |