Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 1.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Giants (Local): 47.82%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 52.18%. For Minnesota Vikings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.96%E -0.957%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 16:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.13%E -4.00%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.69%E -4.97%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.69%E -4.97%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |