The School of Odds
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New Orleans Saints v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-08-15 20:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Prediction 47.42%2.11fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.47%47.53%48.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.012.022.0551.55%49.86%49.50%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 52.58%1.90fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.60%52.53%52.47%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.811.8357.14%55.25%55.25%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Orleans Saints (Local): 47.42%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit): 52.58%. For New Orleans Saints (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -2.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 16:45
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.78%E -2.07%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 16:59
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:49
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:50
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.68%E -2.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.07%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.78%E -2.07%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.11%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.78%E -2.07%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 17:14
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.00%E -4.13%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.