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Minnesota Vikings v Baltimore Ravens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Vikings (Local)
Prediction 59.28%1.69fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.604%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.33%59.42%61.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.601.6764.52%62.21%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Ravens (Visit)
Prediction 40.72%2.46fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.54%40.67%40.58%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.5245.45%42.53%42.55%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 59.28%; Baltimore Ravens (Visit): 40.72%. For Baltimore Ravens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +2.62%E +1.04%K +1.73%G +0.045% | 3.0% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +2.62%E +1.04%K +1.73%G +0.045% | 3.0% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.56%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.227%E -0.093%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 13:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.227%E -0.093%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.227%E -0.093%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.56%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 14:48 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 09:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.56%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.56%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.38%E -2.07%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 14:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.93%E -2.57%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.01%E -0.604%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 15:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -1.60%E -0.964%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 14:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.41%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.41%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |