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Miami Dolphins v New York Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Dolphins (Local)
Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.11%39.16%39.58%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.412.6144.44%40.92%41.49%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Giants (Visit)
Prediction 60.67%1.65fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.84%60.42%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.561.6265.36%63.92%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Dolphins (Local): 39.33%; New York Giants (Visit): 60.67%. For Miami Dolphins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.65%G +0.044% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.65%G +0.044% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +2.26%E +0.869%K +1.41%G +0.032% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV +1.87%E +0.720%K +1.17%G +0.022% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.292%E +0.115%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 13:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.292%E +0.115%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.36%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.292%E +0.115%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.292%E +0.115%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.67%E -0.670%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.67%E -0.670%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 20:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.67%E -0.670%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.25%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.82%E -1.99%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.21%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.54%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.14%E -2.62%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 18:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.18%E -3.04%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.71%E -1.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.36%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.36%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.51%E -5.11%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |