Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins v New York Giants

2026-08-22 20:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

45%

55%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd

EV -3.73%

Edge -1.74%

Kelly -3.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.00%44.99%44.99%45.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.092.092.1450.00%47.92%47.73%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd

EV -3.73%

Edge -2.13%

Kelly -4.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.33%55.01%55.01%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.711.731.7560.61%58.31%57.64%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Dolphins (Local): 44.99%; New York Giants (Visit): 55.01%. For Miami Dolphins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.14, with an expected value of -3.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-17 05:03
SportsBet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-17 04:59
Paddy Power🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-17 05:14
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.98%E -2.86%K -5.48%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-17 05:08
ReBet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-17 06:44
LeoVegas🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-08-17 05:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%	8.4%	2026-08-17 05:34

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