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Los Angeles Rams v New Orleans Saints

2026-08-22 20:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 45.36%2.20fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.36%45.36%45.36%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.052.052.1250.51%48.86%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 54.64%1.83fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%54.64%54.64%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.7858.82%57.25%56.98%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 45.36%; New Orleans Saints (Visit): 54.64%. For New Orleans Saints (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.78, with an expected value of -2.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 05:03
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 04:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.74%E -1.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 05:08
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.46%E -3.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 04:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 05:14
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.19%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 06:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-08-17 07:44

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