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Los Angeles Rams v New Orleans Saints
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Rams (Local)
Prediction 47.83%2.09fair odd
EV +0.433%
Edge +0.206%
Kelly +0.394%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.83%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.952.1052.63%50.86%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Saints (Visit)
Prediction 52.17%1.92fair odd
EV +0.175%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.190%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.17%52.22%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.851.9257.47%54.50%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 47.83%; New Orleans Saints (Visit): 52.17%. For Los Angeles Rams (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.433%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.433%E +0.206%K +0.394%G +0.002% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.96%E -0.955%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.22%E -5.30%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.69%E -4.97%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.69%E -4.97%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -3.87%E -1.93%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.22%E -5.30%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.26%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV +0.175%E +0.091%K +0.190%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.347%E -0.181%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.13%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 20:03 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |